# Matthew DiGiuseppe

> Matthew DiGiuseppe is an Associate Professor of Political Science and International Relations at Leiden University. Research: international and comparative political economy, conflict, alliances, and AI politics.

This file lists everything on the site in plain text. Each paper has its own Markdown page with citation details, links and the abstract; working papers with a public preprint include the full text. Everything in one file, with abstracts: [llms-full.txt](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/llms-full.txt).

## About

- [Homepage](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/): research, teaching and contact details
- [CV as text](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/cv.md): the full CV in Markdown
- [CV (PDF)](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/CV.pdf)
- [MIDEBT project](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/midebt.html): ERC Starting Grant project on the microfoundations of debt crises
- [All publications as BibTeX](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/publications.bib)

## Working papers

- [Perceived Political Bias in LLMs Reduces Persuasive Abilities](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/perceived-political-bias-llms-reduces.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Robison, J. (2026). Forthcoming at PNAS Nexus. Full text.
- [Putting the Public in Public Debt](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/putting-public-public-debt.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Kantorowicz, J., González-Bustamante, B., & Aspide, A. (2026). Conditionally accepted at Public Choice. Full text.
- [Information, Party Politics, and Public Support for Central Bank Independence](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/information-party-politics-public-support.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Garriga, A.C., & Kern, A. (2025). Conditionally accepted at British Journal of Political Science. Full text.
- [Is the IMF a Scapegoat? A Survey Experiment in Kenya & Ghana](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/imf-scapegoat-survey-experiment-kenya.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Brown, K., Abouharb, R., & Resinsberg, B. (2024). Conditionally accepted at International Studies Quarterly. Full text.
- [Bottom-Up Preferences for Public Debt Reduction and Repayment](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/bottom-up-preferences-public-debt.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Del Ponte, A. (2023). Full text.
- [AI on the Battlefield? Revisiting Public Support for LAWs](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/ai-battlefield-revisiting-public-support.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Paula, K., & Rommel, T. (2025). Full text.
- [JEV versus LLMs: Accuracy, Cost and Calibration on Seven Political Science Replications](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/jev-versus-llms-accuracy-cost.md): Denney, S., & DiGiuseppe, M. (2026). Full text.
- [Ad Machina: Partisanship and Support for Delegating Government Decisions to Autonomous Algorithms](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/ad-machina-partisanship-support-delegating.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Paula, K., & Rommel, T. (2025). Full text.
- [External Threats and Support for International Cooperation](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/external-threats-support-international-cooperation.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Becker, J., Jee, H., & Kim, T.
- [LLM-Based Measurement of Latent Attributes in Trade Data](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/llm-based-measurement-latent-attributes.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Fu, X., & Flynn, M. (2026). Full text.

## Published articles

- [The Mass Politics of Public Debt, Immigration, and Austerity](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/mass-politics-public-debt-immigration.md): Aspide, A., & DiGiuseppe, M. (2025). Journal of European Public Policy, Advance online publication, pp. 1-29.
- [Information, Uncertainty, & Public Support for Brinkmanship during the 2023 Debt Limit Negotiations](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/information-uncertainty-public-support-brinkmanship.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Shea, P.E. (2025). British Journal of Political Science, 55, e14.
- [Ethnic Politics and Sovereign Credit](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/ethnic-politics-sovereign-credit.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Brown, K.J., & Shea, P.E. (2024). Review of International Political Economy, 31(2), pp. 589-621.
- [How to Finance Green Investments? The Role of Public Debt](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/how-finance-green-investments-role.md): Kantorowicz, J., Collewet, M., DiGiuseppe, M., & Vrijburg, H. (2024). Energy Policy, 184, 113899.
- [Age and Support for Public Debt Reduction](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/age-support-public-debt-reduction.md): Aspide, A., Brown, K.J., DiGiuseppe, M., & Slaski, A. (2023). European Journal of Political Research, 62(4), pp. 1191-1211.
- [Culture & European Attitudes on Public Debt](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/culture-european-attitudes-public-debt.md): Aspide, A., Brown, K.J., DiGiuseppe, M., & Slaski, A. (2023). New Political Economy, 28(4), pp. 509-525.
- [The Devil's Haircut: Investor–State Disputes over Debt Restructuring](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/devils-haircut-investor-state-disputes.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Shea, P.E. (2019). Journal of Conflict Resolution, 63(8), pp. 1889-1922.
- [Sovereign Credit and Political Survival in Democracies](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/sovereign-credit-political-survival-democracies.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Shea, P.E. (2018). Business and Politics, 20(3), pp. 360-389.
- [The Physical Consequences of Fiscal Flexibility: Sovereign Credit and Physical Integrity Rights](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/physical-consequences-fiscal-flexibility-sovereign.md): Clay, K.C., & DiGiuseppe, M. (2017). British Journal of Political Science, 47(4), pp. 783-807.
- [Borrowed Time: Sovereign Finance, Regime Type, and Leader Survival](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/borrowed-time-sovereign-finance-regime.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Shea, P.E. (2016). Economics & Politics, 28(3), pp. 342-367.
- [Sovereign Credit and the Fate of Leaders: Reassessing the Democratic Advantage](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/sovereign-credit-fate-leaders-reassessing.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Shea, P.E. (2015). International Studies Quarterly, 59(3), pp. 557-570.
- [Guns, Butter, and Debt: Sovereign Creditworthiness and Military Expenditure](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/guns-butter-debt-sovereign-creditworthiness.md): DiGiuseppe, M. (2015). Journal of Peace Research, 52(5), pp. 680-693.
- [Tightening the Belt: Sovereign Debt and Alliance Formation](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/tightening-belt-sovereign-debt-alliance.md): Allen, M.A., & DiGiuseppe, M. (2013). International Studies Quarterly, 57(4), pp. 647-659.
- [Transparency, Risk, and FDI](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/transparency-risk-fdi.md): Barry, C.M., & DiGiuseppe, M. (2019). Political Research Quarterly, 72(1), pp. 132-146.
- [Farming Then Fighting: The Relationship Between Idle Time and Social Conflict](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/farming-then-fighting-relationship-between.md): DiGiuseppe, M., van der Haer, R., & Rezaee, B. (2024). Political Science Research and Methods, 12(4), pp. 897-906.
- [Threats and the Public Constraint on Military Spending](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/threats-public-constraint-military-spending.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Aspide, A., & Becker, J. (2024). British Journal of Political Science, 54(3), pp. 649-666.
- [The Wedding Bells of War: The Influence of Armed Conflict on Child Marriages in West Africa](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/wedding-bells-war-influence-armed.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & van der Haer, R. (2023). Journal of Peace Research, 60(3), pp. 474-488.
- [U.S. Patronage, State Capacity, and Civil Conflict](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/us-patronage-state-capacity-civil.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Shea, P.E. (2022). Journal of Politics, 84(2), pp. 767-782.
- [The Fiscal Autonomy of Deciders: Creditworthiness and Conflict Initiation](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/fiscal-autonomy-deciders-creditworthiness-conflict.md): DiGiuseppe, M. (2015). Foreign Policy Analysis, 11(3), pp. 317-338.
- [Good for the Money? International Finance, State Capacity and Internal Armed Conflict](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/good-money-international-finance-state.md): DiGiuseppe, M., Barry, C.M., & Frank, R.W. (2012). Journal of Peace Research, 49(3), pp. 391-405.
- [Alliances, Signals of Support, and Military Effort](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/alliances-signals-support-military-effort.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Shea, P.E. (2021). European Journal of International Relations, 27(4), pp. 1067-1089.
- [Arms versus Democratic Allies](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/arms-versus-democratic-allies.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Poast, P. (2018). British Journal of Political Science, 48(4), pp. 981-1003.
- [Scaling Open-ended Survey Responses Using LLM-Paired Comparisons](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/scaling-open-ended-survey-responses.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Flynn, M.E. (2026). Public Opinion Quarterly, 90(1). Full text.
- [Do Consumers Follow the Flag? Perceptions of Hostility and Consumer Preferences](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/do-consumers-follow-flag-perceptions.md): Barry, C.M., & DiGiuseppe, M. (2022). International Interactions, 48(6), pp. 1200-1215.
- [Economics, Security, and Individual-Level Preferences for Trade Agreements](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/economics-security-individual-level-preferences.md): DiGiuseppe, M., & Kleinberg, K.B. (2019). International Interactions, 45(2), pp. 289-315.
- [International Development NGOs and Bureaucratic Capacity: Facilitator or Destroyer?](https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/international-development-ngos-bureaucratic-capacity.md): Campbell, S., DiGiuseppe, M., & Murdie, A. (2019). Political Research Quarterly, 72(1), pp. 3-18.

## Optional

- [Google Scholar profile](https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=uLty40oAAAAJ)
- [GitHub](https://github.com/matthewdigiuseppe)