---
title: "Prediction in Political Economy: Pre-Registered Forecasts of Sovereign Debt Crises"
authors: ["Patrick E. Shea", "Matthew DiGiuseppe"]
year: 2026
status: "Working paper (revise & resubmit)"
url: "https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/papers/prediction-political-economy-pre-registered.md"
full_text: false
---

# Prediction in Political Economy: Pre-Registered Forecasts of Sovereign Debt Crises

Shea, P.E., & DiGiuseppe, M. (2026). Prediction in Political Economy: Pre-Registered Forecasts of Sovereign Debt Crises.

- Status: Working paper (revise & resubmit)
- Listed on: https://www.matthewdigiuseppe.com/#research

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